Tuesday 10 October 2017

Towards Catalonia independence referendum

CATALONIA BIG BANG


I’m not even mildly amused by some stupid comments here re: Catalonia by people who know nothing about either Catalonia or Spain, or believe that sorry clown Vargas Llosa holds any credibility.

I never suffer fools, gladly or otherwise; I don’t need to because I’ve always been fiercely independent. I NEVER issue apologies. Never did. But in this case let’s set the record straight.

I’m following the Catalonia drama for a number of reasons. Half of my family is Spanish, including a section that was pure Spanish Inquisition (without a redeeming Monty Python angle). It’s a pretty nasty bunch – and I read all the best sources, in at least four languages, about their “exploits”. It took me decades to finally take a look at the Inquisition catacombs in Zaragoza. I feel no affinity with Spain whatsoever – and speak the language only if I have to, although I’ve always read in Spanish, non-stop; no wonder my favorite authors are from Cuba, Argentina, Uruguay or Chile.

Fate though ruled that my – mega-multicultural – only son Nick comes from a partly Catalan Mom (her Dad’s family, mixed with Swiss/Brits/Irish); he lives and works in Barcelona; and my grandson was actually born in Barcelona, he’s technically Catalan. So I obviously care deeply about their future.

As a geopolitical analyst, my position on the current drama is similar to the Argentine cacerolazos in late 2001 to early 2002, some of which I saw in Buenos Aires fresh from the war in Afghanistan; Que se Vayan Todos. Out with all the crooks/scoundrels.

The regional clique aiming at the referendum/independence is rotten - and corrupt. The PP in power in Madrid is even more rotten - and corrupt, now also revealing its true Franco-ist colors.

But the mega-rotten are really those jerks in Brussels – which I also know very well. The EU – Brussels and “leaders” such as Rothschild bag boy Macron – are emboldening a Franco-ist bunch in 21st century Europe. This is a fact.

I’ll be back to the underlying reasons of the Catalonia-Spain fracture in one of my next columns. What’s clear though is
there’s only one solution. Kick out the repellent, incompetent and coward nano-Franco Rajoy, who does not want any dialogue. Explain to everyone in Catalonia, especially the different strands of the working class, what independence would mean in practice – something the current “leaders” are incapable of. Amend this pathetic 1978 constitution. And then launch a comprehensive national dialogue process. None of this seems to be on the cards – and that’s why the real tragedy is only beginning. Spain is already broken – and there will be no turning back.


--Pepe Escobar

Spain will step in to 'protect the nation' if Catalonia declares independence, says ex-minister
Asked if there will be 'civil war', MP Francisco Martinez Vazquez says he 'hopes the regional government will step back from what they are doing'

spain-catalan-vote.jpg

9 October, 2017

The Spanish government will intervene to "protect the nation" if Catalonia declares independence, a former security minister has said.

Regional leader Carles Puigdemont is to address the Catalan government on Tuesday, but there is growing speculation that he will postpone any declaration after hundreds of thousands marched in support of Spanish unity at the weekend.

Catalonia voted overwhelmingly in favour of independence at a referendum on 1 October, but turnout was low and the ballot had been declared illegal by Spain’s constitutional court.

Speaking on the BBC’s Today programme on Monday morning, an MP and ex-minister from the ruling People’s Party, Francisco Martinez Vazquez, hailed the anti-separatist march on Sunday and warned that "no one can talk on behalf of the whole of Catalonia".

Mr Vazquez, who is also a professor of constitutional law, said the government would not accept a unilateral declaration of independence "just supported by a part of the Catalan society and a part of the regional government".

If Mr Puigdemont did try to declare independence, he warned, Spain will intercede. "Of course the government will do what the law and the constitution provides for the government to do," he said.

"It is not just the government, it is all the other institutions that make us a country - the constitutional court, the prosecutors - everyone reacting to protect the national state."

Asked if Spain risked "civil war" by stepping in, Mr Vazquez said: "I’m sure that won’t happen. I really hope the regional government, which is acting in a very improper way, will step back from what they are doing.

"We cannot accept that just because someone is saying there is going to be a disturbance, OK we are going to just accept a breach of the law. No government in the world would accept that."

Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said in an interview published in Die Welt on Monday that Spain would not be divided.

Asked if there was a risk that Spain would be divided, Mr Rajoy said: "Absolutely not. Spain will not be divided and national unity will be preserved. We'll do everything that legislation allows to ensure that."

France, which would border the new state if the Spanish region achieved independence, said it would not recognise Catalonia.

In a TV interview on Monday, European affairs minister Nathalie Loiseau said: "If there were to be a declaration of independence, it would be unilateral, and it would not be recognised.

"Catalonia cannot be defined by the vote organised by the independence movement just over a week ago," the junior minister said. "This crisis needs to be resolved through dialogue at all levels of Spanish politics."

A hasty decision to recognise independence following such a unilateral declaration would amount to fleeing France's responsibilities, Ms Loiseau added.


"If independence were to be recognised - which is not something that's being discussed - the most immediate consequence would be that (Catalonia) automatically left the European Union."


Spanish Government Issues Veiled Death Threat To Catalan Leader


9 October, 2017

In a quite shocking escalation of the rhetoric in Spain, a spokesman for the ruling People's Party just issued a (barely) veiled death threat to the President of Catalonia.

"Let's hope that nothing is declared tomorrow because perhaps the person who makes the decalartion will end up like the person who made the declaration 83 years ago."





1. PP spokesman says Puigdemont might end up like Lluis Companys (in 1934) if he declares independence tomorrow…

1. PP spokesman says Puigdemont might end up like Lluis Companys (in 1934) if he declares independence tomorrow…pic.twitter.com/II2HGUtUdH
3. Some people in Spain (here a senior Podemos figure) are interpreting it, though, as Casado suggesting Puigdemont would be shot. https://twitter.com/pnique/status/917367398344294400 
1. PP spokesman says Puigdemont might end up like Lluis Companys (in 1934) if he declares independence tomorrow…pic.twitter.com/II2HGUtUdH
5. Problem is Casado's use of "acabar como" = "ends up like". Lots of people reacting with "well [Companys] ended up executed".
For those whose Spanish history is a little shaky, here's a reminder:







Lluís Companys i Jover (21 June 1882 – 15 October 1940) was the President of Catalonia (Spain), from 1934 and during the Spanish Civil War.
He was a lawyer and leader of the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) political party. Exiled after the war, he was captured and handed over by the Nazi secret police, the Gestapo, to the Spanish State of Francisco Franco, who had him executed by firing squad in 1940.
 Companys is the only incumbent democratically elected president in European history to have been executed.

Seems about as clear as it gets from Rajoy's PP to Puigdemont - Call for Independence and Die!

That does not seem to be the reconciliatory tone the market has been hoping for.

And as TheSpainReport.com reportsCatalan separatists and others in Spain immediately reacted with fury to Mr. Casado's ambiguous comments.







Republican Catalan Left (Esquerra, ERC) MP Joan Tardà tweeted: "Yes, Pablo Casado, we know how our President Companys ended up, shot by the army. Does it make you happy to remind our defenceless people of it?".
Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias tweeted: "Casado says Puigdemont might end up like Companys, who was tortured and shot.Either he is ignorant or irresponsibly provocative".
Iñigo Errejón (Podemos) called on Mr. Casado to "rectify immediately or resign. They are arsonists".



BREAKING: FRANCE WILL NOT RECOGNIZE CATALONIA INDEPENDENCE DECLARATION


H.A Goodman



French European affairs minister urges both sides to negotiate their way out of crisis triggered by last week’s referendum


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